Can ASEAN reclaim its position as the world’s fourth largest economy?

Asian economies have seen the most instability as a result of the coronavirus’s succeeding waves, and they have now set their sights on returning to pre-pandemic levels. Despite an impressive comeback in 2021, numerous economists are still concerned about how rocky the road to recovery would be. The pandemic has had a significant impact on Asian economies, but recovery will likely be long and gradual.

Experts from a variety of fields anticipate that economies will perform better this year in comparison to last year’s growth. Despite ongoing reports of coronavirus outbreaks, Asian countries are pressing ahead with their recovery plans. According to forecasts, the area is expected to grow at roughly 5%, but some nations, such as China, may experience sluggish development compared to their previous estimates. Despite concerns of outbreaks, Indonesia and Japan may have faster growth than last year, while India’s economy may remain stable.

Greater cooperation is critical for Asia’s economic revival

Source: Statista

Greater coordination and coordinated measures in the region are required for recovery, per reports. The fact that ASEAN member countries banded together to simplify the flow of critical products, resulting in a stronger supply chain in the region, is one of the best examples of such recovery.

According to studies, economic activity in the region is increasing, and hospitalisation is decreasing in several countries.

With rising exports in the region’s main economies, the manufacturing sector appears to be recovering. Malaysia’s exports rose in 2021, owing to a 40% increase in electric and electronic items, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, and specialist machinery.

With reports of a 13% average rise in the last couple of years, Singapore is projected to bounce back better than its neighbours in the real estate business. Due to an increase in foreign investment, Vietnam may be able to recover ahead of the rest of ASEAN. Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines are likely to follow following, albeit at a slower pace.

Without a question, the region’s pandemic-induced push toward digital infrastructure, artificial intelligence, machine learning, cyber security, smart manufacturing, and cloud computing will enable these countries recover economically.

In 2021, inflationary pressures appeared to be subdued in comparison to the rest of the globe, owing primarily to food price inflation, which had somewhat spiked up in 2021 but was not comparable to global levels. According to reports, Asian countries have increased spending and loosened monetary policy in order to revitalise their economies. Another cause for optimism, which has persisted from last year, is the absence of major supply chain bottlenecks in comparison to the rest of the world.

The general economic integration and sustained investment flows are some of the hopeful reasons in Asia’s role as a dynamic centre of optimism for the global economy.

At the upcoming Economic Times Asian Business Leaders Conclave on 24 March, 2022, business leaders will gather to discuss factors required for rebooting the Asian economies. This will be an exclusive panel discussion with leaders such as Ramy Jallad, Group Chief Executive Officer, Ras Al Khaimah Economic Zone (RAKEZ), Devin Narang, Managing Director, India, Sindicatum Renewable Energy Company, Singapore, Mayra Andrea Mueller, President, Indonesia Jordan Business Council, Ketan Patel, Managing Director, HP India, and Benjamin Chua, Founder & CEO, Speco Singapore (f.k.a Spic & Span).

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Economic Times – ET Edge Insights, its management, or its members

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ET Edge Insights, its management, or its members

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